Showing posts with label proves. Show all posts
Showing posts with label proves. Show all posts

Saturday, 25 February 2012

FOREX-Euro relief proves fleeting; yen hits 6-mth low vs dollar

* Euro backs off previous day's high

* Markets take profits on recent gains following Greek bailout deal

* Dollar/yen stays firm, touches fresh 6-month high (Updates prices, adds comments)

SINGAPORE, Feb 22 (Reuters) - The euro struggled to make headway on Wednesday, having retreated from near two-week highs as optimism over the long-awaited Greek bailout deal quickly gave way to concerns about economic growth and implementation risks.

The yen dipped against the dollar and touched a fresh six-month low, staying on the defensive after the Bank of Japan (EUREX: FMJP.EX - news) 's surprise monetary easing last week.

The euro held steady from late U.S. trade on Tuesday at $1.3232, down from Tuesday's high of $1.3293, which was the euro's highest level since Feb. 9. It faces resistance at $1.3308, the 100-day moving average.

"The euro had priced in a lot of the good news, in the sense that it had priced in already some form of agreement," said Mitul Kotecha, head of global foreign exchange strategy for Credit Agricole (Milan: ACA.MI - news) in Hong Kong.

"It's not surprising to see it struggling to break higher," Kotecha added.

While Greece's aid package helped ease fears of an immediate default, the country's economic outlook remained anything but rosy, a problem that could yet derail its efforts to meet tough cost-cutting measures.

Parliaments in three countries that have been most critical of bailouts - Germany, the Netherlands and Finland - must now approve the package. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble, who caused an outcry by suggesting that Greece was a "bottomless pit", said he was confident it would be passed.

The dollar index edged up 0.1 percent to 79.136 as the euro floundered.

Against the yen, the dollar rose 0.3 percent to 79.961 yen at one point, its highest level since early August 2011.

The dollar has rallied roughly 5 percent from lows around 76.00 yen hit in early February, spurred in part by yen-weakness after the Bank of Japan's surprise easing last week.

"The pace of the yen's move in recent days looks unsustainable. But the yen has the ability to weaken further, although it's not going to do so in a straight line," analysts at Societe Generale (Paris: FR0000130809 - news) wrote in a note.

A trader for a Japanese bank in Tokyo said dollar offers were lined up at levels above 80 yen, while dollar buyers such as Japanese importers were placing bids at levels around 79 yen.

The dollar is now testing strong technical resistance from a cloud on the weekly Ichimoku chart.

The dollar has not managed to stay above the weekly cloud for any sustained period since mid-2007, and a breach of that resistance could give the dollar additional momentum against the yen.

The dollar has clawed above the bottom of the cloud at 79.73 yen, and faces more resistance at the cloud top, which comes in at 80.94 this week.

The Australian dollar held steady at $1.0658, more than a full cent lower from this week's high of $1.0817.

The Aussie dollar showed limited reaction to data showing that China's manufacturing sector contracted in February for the fourth straight month as new export orders dropped sharply in the face of the euro area debt crisis.

The HSBC flash purchasing managers index, the earliest indicator of China's industrial activity, rose to a four-month-high at 49.7 in February. The PMI has been below 50, which demarcates expansion from contraction, for most of the last eight months.

China's economic outlook is a focal point for market players, who fret that risk sentiment could take a hit if the country's economic growth were to slow down too sharply. (Additional reporting by Ian Chua in Sydney and Hideyuki Sano in Tokyo; Editing by Ramya Venugopal)


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Friday, 24 February 2012

FOREX-Euro service proves fleeting, China information eyed

Tue Feb 21, 2012 10:50pm GMT

* Euro off highs, commodity currencies on a defensive

* Markets take increase on new gains following Greek
bailout deal

* HSBC’s peep PMI for China subsequent in focus

By Ian Chua

SYDNEY, Feb 22 (Reuters) – The euro struggled to make
any advance in Asia on Wednesday, carrying retreated from near
two-week highs as confidence over a long-awaited Greek bailout
deal fast gave approach to concerns about mercantile expansion and
implementation risks.

Traders pronounced a Asian event will be destined by HSBC’s
flash production activity news on China. Any disappointment
could import on risk appetite, nonetheless it could also bolster
expectations of some-more impulse from Chinese authorities.

The euro stood during $1.3235, down from Tuesday’s high
of $1.3293. It is seen capped during $1.3306, a 100-day moving
average, and during final week’s arise of $1.3321.

While Greece’s assist package helped palliate fears of an immediate
default, a country’s mercantile opinion remained anything but
rosy, a problem that could nonetheless derail a efforts to accommodate tough
cost-cutting measures to secure a bailout.

“At a finish of a day, deliberation how ideally in place
the pieces will need to tumble for this bailout and pronounced reforms
to make a required changes to assistance reanimate a Greek
economy, we do not trust that a Greek default is off the
table,” pronounced Christopher Vecchio, banking researcher during DailyFX.

The dollar index edged off a 1-1/2 week low of 78.797
to 79.094 as a euro floundered. Against a yen, a greenback
eased to 79.70, recoiling from a six-month high around
79.90 set on Monday.

The dollar has rallied some 5 percent from lows around 76.00
yen given a start of a month, spurred in partial by
yen-weakness after a Bank of Japan’s warn easing last
week.

“The gait of a yen’s pierce in new days looks
unsustainable. But a yen has a ability to break further,
although it’s not going to do so in a true line,” analysts
at Societe Generale wrote in a note.

Among a biggest casualties overnight were commodity
currencies as they suffered what traders pronounced was a classic
buy-the-rumour-sell-the-fact pierce following a Greek deal.

The Australian dollar was during $1.0657, some-more than a
full cent reduce from Monday’s arise of $1.0817. It is contrast the
bottom of an uptrend channel shaped from Dec and a break
below a Feb. 14 tray during $1.0629 was seen paving a approach for
further losses.

The evident concentration for a Aussie is salary cost information due at
0030 GMT. Analysts generally design a soft arise of 0.8 percent
on a quarter, an outcome that would support a Reserve Bank
of Australia’s loose opinion for inflation.

(Editing by Wayne Cole)


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