Showing posts with label 5week. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 5week. Show all posts

Saturday, 19 November 2011

FOREX-Euro rises 5-week low but contagion fears persist

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* Spanish bond yields soar after poor auction

* ECB buying helps bond yields retreat, lifts euro

* Italy's Mario Monti outlines reforms to boost confidence (Updates prices, adds details)

NEW YORK (Frankfurt: A0DKRK - news) , Nov 17 (Reuters) - The euro edged higher from a five-week low against the dollar on Thursday after bond yields in some of the heavily indebted euro zone countries eased from extreme levels, but gains were likely short-lived on fears the debt crisis is spreading.

U.S. data showing initial jobless claims at a seven-month low last week and a smaller-than-expected fall in housing starts also boosted appetite for risk and lifted the euro.

Italian bond yields fell back below the critical 7 percent, a level widely deemed unsustainable, as Prime Minister Mario Monti unveiled sweeping reforms to dig the country out of crisis. The spread between French 10-year bond yields and German bunds also eased from record highs.

That helped the euro bounce back above $1.35 after three straight days of decline. The outlook for the common currency remains bleak, however, and it would likely resume weakness next week should the $1.36 level hold, analysts said.

"If you look at some of the PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland (Xetra: A0Q8L3 - news) , Greece and Spain) yields, they have started to become fairly negatively correlated to euro/dollar," said Ronald Simpson, managing director of global currency analysis at Action Economics in Tampa, Florida.

The euro rose 0.4 percent to $1.3517, having risen as high as $1.3539 on Reuters data. It had earlier fallen to a five-week low of $1.3420. Below there, key downside target lies near the Oct (KOSDAQ: 039200.KQ - news) . low of $1.3140.

The premium of Spanish and French bonds over German Bunds hit fresh euro era highs after poor demand at their debt sales raised fears that the euro zone crisis could spiral out of control and potentially lead to a break-up of the bloc.

Spain saw its borrowing costs rising to their highest since 1997, close to the psychologically important level of 7 percent, while Paris had to pay markedly more to sell 7 billion euros of government debt.

"The Spanish auction was really bad and yields are rising to levels where there are expectations that fresh margin calls will be imposed," said Nomura currency analyst Geoff Kendrick. "The only way to trade euro is to sell. It is headed lower and our year-end target of $1.30 looks to be tested soon."

ECB BUYING

The European Central Bank buying of Italian and Spanish debt markets before and after the debt sales helped ease some pressure on yields but looked modest in size, traders said.

Pressure has grown on the ECB to take a greater role in tackling the crisis with Paris saying it should intervene more forcefully, but Germany and the ECB itself oppose that view.

Simpson said it's key for the ECB to at least continue what it's been doing until the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) is finalized and in operation.

"Right now if the ECB pulled away completely from its bond buying activity, we probably would see yields go through the roof. They've been basically the only buyers."

Against the yen, the euro rose 0.3 percent to 104.01 , rebounding from a five-week low of 103.37 set Wednesday. The dollar slipped 0.1 percent at 76.96 yen .

The outlook for euro zone assets took another beating after rating agency Moody's downgraded 12 German public sector banks. Analysts said investors will shy away from the region until policymakers take more concrete and forceful actions.

"It is becoming increasingly clear that the crisis in Europe (Chicago Options: ^REURUSD - news) is unfolding like a slow-motion car crash which is odd given that largely speaking all the facts seem to be known, i.e. too much debt and a concern about it being paid back," said Dave Floyd, managing partner and head of FX trading at Aspen Trading Group, based in Bend, Oregon.

"Thus one can only assume it has been the pathetically slow and some would say half-hearted attempts by politicians to put steps in place to reassure markets that have seemingly paralyzed the markets." (Editing by Chizu Nomiyama)


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Friday, 18 November 2011

FOREX-Euro slips to 5-week lows as debt crisis deepens

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* Euro hits five-week low, eyes Oct (KOSDAQ: 039200.KQ - news) . trough around $1.3140

* ECB's buying Italian bonds fails to bring down yields

* More euro losses seen as crisis spreads to core Europe (Chicago Options: ^REURUSD - news)

(Updates prices, adds comment, details)

NEW YORK (Frankfurt: A0DKRK - news) , Nov 16 (Reuters) - The euro fell to five-week lows against the dollar and yen on Wednesday as rising French and Italian borrowing costs heightened concerns about contagion in the euro zone debt crisis.

The European Central Bank's purchase of Italian and Spanish bonds brought only temporary relief. Once intervention stopped, yields resumed climbing as investors doubted how much the ECB can buy to support the bond market.

Analysts expect the euro to remain under pressure as troubles in the periphery appear to be spreading to core nations in Europe with France the latest target of investor angst as policy makers remain behind the curve in finding a solution to the region's debt problems.

"The euro/dollar is being pushed and pulled by many things in the market of late, but ECB intervention in the Italian and Spanish bond markets seems to give the pair some support and comfort today," said Greg Michalowski, chief currency analyst at FXDD, a retail brokerage in New York. "Tomorrow Spain is scheduled to sell 4 billion 10 year bonds. How that auction goes will give the market a clue as to the real demand from investors."

The euro was last little changed at $1.3534 , after earlier dropping as low as $1.3427 on Reuters data, the weakest level since Oct. 10.

Against the yen, it traded at 104.26 yen , after earlier hitting 103.37 yen.

The common currency also came under pressure after Italian bank UniCredit (MDD: UCG.MDD - news) said it would ask the ECB to extend its access to funding, stoking concerns about the health of euro zone banks. [ID:nL5E7MG237]

"Markets are slowly losing their will to believe in an EU solution, and this is being reflected in the debt market," said Paul Bregg, a currency trader at Western Union Business Solutions in Denver, Colorado.

Traders cited euro selling from macro funds. Samarjit Shankar, managing director of global FX strategy at BNY Mellon in Boston, said net inflows into the euro "have virtually dried up, with the seeming hesitation on the part of even the more tactical market participants."

The dollar slipped 0.1 percent to 77.03 yen .

Dollar/yen has now broken through the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement of the move on intervention on an intraday basis for four straight days.

ECB ROLE

Bond purchases by the ECB initially pushed Italian yields down to around 6.83 percent and sparked a rebound in the euro. But yields later climbed back above 7 percent, a level widely deemed unsustainable.

Mario Monti, a former European commissioner, was sworn in as prime minister and formed a new technocrat government in Italy on Wednesday, but analysts were skeptical the move would be enough to calm financial markets.

In a sign the debt crisis is spreading to Europe's core economies, the yield spread between French 10-year government bonds over German Bunds hit its highest level since the euro's launch in 1999 before easing. France is the second-largest economy in the euro zone.

This made for a difficult backdrop for auctions of up to 11 billion euros of Spanish and French bonds Thursday. The Spanish sale of new 10-year debt is likely to struggle as the country's finances come under scrutiny days before a general election.

France and Germany clashed over whether the European Central Bank (Other OTC: CBSU.PK - news) should intervene to halt the debt crisis.

A French government spokeswoman said the ECB's role is to ensure the stability of the euro, but also the financial stability of Europe. But German Chancellor Angela Merkel made clear Berlin would resist pressure for the central bank to take a bigger role in resolving the debt crisis. [ID:nL5E7MF410] Western Union (NYSE: WU - news) 's Bregg said the rise in French borrowing costs was especially worrying. "Rumors of a debt downgrade are circling daily. This is not good news, especially when France is one of the main funding countries for the bailout fund and Europe's number two economy." (Reporting by Nick Olivari and Wanfeng Zhou; Editing by Andrew Hay)


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Wednesday, 16 November 2011

FOREX-Euro falls to 5-week lows as debt crisis deepens

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* Euro hits five-week low, eyes Oct (KOSDAQ: 039200.KQ - news) trough around $1.3140

* ECB's buying Italian bonds fails to bring down yields

* More euro losses seen as crisis spreads to core Europe (Chicago Options: ^REURUSD - news) (Updates prices)

NEW YORK (Frankfurt: A0DKRK - news) , Nov 16 (Reuters) - The euro fell to five-week lows against the dollar and yen on Wednesday as rising French and Italian borrowing costs heightened concerns about contagion in the euro zone debt crisis.

The European Central Bank's purchase of Italian and Spanish bonds brought only temporary relief. Once intervention stopped, yields resumed climbing as investors doubted how much the ECB can buy to support the bond market.

Analysts expect the euro to remain under pressure as troubles in the periphery appear to be spreading to core nations in Europe with France the latest target of investor angst as policy makers remain behind the curve in finding a solution to the region's debt problems.

"The euro/dollar is being pushed and pulled by many things in the market of late, but ECB intervention in the Italian and Spanish bond markets seems to give the pair some support and comfort today," said Greg Michalowski, chief currency analyst at FXDD, a retail brokerage in New York. "Tomorrow Spain is scheduled to sell 4 billion 10 year bonds. How that auction goes will give the market a clue as to the real demand from investors."

The euro was last down 0.3 percent at $1.3495 , after earlier dropping as low as $1.3427 on Reuters data, the weakest level since Oct. 10.

Against the yen, it down 0.4 percent at 103.87 yen , after earlier hitting 103.37 yen.

The common currency also came under pressure after Italian bank UniCredit (MDD: UCG.MDD - news) said it would ask the ECB to extend its access to funding, stoking concerns about the health of euro zone banks. For details, see [ID:nL5E7MG237]

"Markets are slowly losing their will to believe in an EU solution, and this is being reflected in the debt market," said Paul Bregg, a currency trader at Western Union Business Solutions in Denver, Colorado.

Traders cited euro selling from macro funds. Samarjit Shankar, managing director of global FX strategy at BNY Mellon in Boston, said net inflows into the euro "have virtually dried up, with the seeming hesitation on the part of even the more tactical market participants."

The dollar slipped 0.1 percent to 76.98 yen . Dollar/yen has now broken through the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement of the move on the Oct 31 intervention on an intraday basis for four straight days.

ECB ROLE

Bond purchases by the ECB initially pushed Italian yields down to around 6.83 percent and sparked a rebound in the euro. But yields later climbed back above 7 percent, a level widely deemed unsustainable.

Mario Monti, a former European commissioner, was sworn in as Italy's prime minister and formed a new technocrat government on Wednesday, but analysts were skeptical the move would be enough to calm financial markets.

In a sign the debt crisis is spreading to Europe's core economies, the yield spread between French 10-year government bonds over German Bunds hit its highest level since the euro's launch in 1999 before easing. France is the second-largest economy in the euro zone.

This made for a difficult backdrop for auctions of up to 11 billion euros of Spanish and French bonds Thursday. The Spanish sale of new 10-year debt is likely to struggle as the country's finances come under scrutiny days before a general election.

France and Germany clashed over whether the European Central Bank (Other OTC: CBSU.PK - news) should intervene to halt the debt crisis.

A French government spokeswoman said the ECB's role is to ensure the stability of the euro and also the financial stability of Europe. But German Chancellor Angela Merkel made clear Berlin would resist pressure for the central bank to take a bigger role in resolving the debt crisis. [ID:nL5E7MF410]

Western Union (NYSE: WU - news) 's Bregg said the rise in French borrowing costs was especially worrying. "Rumors of a debt downgrade are circling daily. This is not good news, especially when France is one of the main funding countries for the bailout fund and Europe's number two economy." (Reporting by Nick Olivari and Wanfeng Zhou, Editing by Chizu Nomiyama)


View the original article here