Sunday 20 November 2011

FOREX-Euro seen vulnerable, rises on short-covering

Fri Nov 18, 2011 12:16am EST

* Euro in downtrend though dump approaching to be light -trader

* Mounting risk hatred supports dollar

* Aussie trims detriment after dipping next relation vs USD

* Worries grow as European bank appropriation condition tightens

By Masayuki Kitano

SINGAPORE, Nov 18 (Reuters) – The euro edged aloft on
Friday as traders lonesome brief positions and requisitioned profits
after a new dump to a five-week low, and a single
currency was approaching to sojourn on a downtrend given of the
spiralling euro section debt crisis.

The spotlight fell on Spain on Thursday, that had to pay
the top rate to sell a 10-year debt given 1997, only shy
of a 7 percent symbol seen as unsustainable.

The euro, however, showed some resilience in a arise of the
Spanish bond auction, handling to reason above a five-week trough
of $1.3421 strike in Thursday’s Asian trade.

The euro is being upheld by brief covering, pronounced Jesper
Bargmann, Asia conduct of G11 mark FX for RBS in Singapore, adding
that such profit-taking seductiveness is approaching to insist and limit
the speed of a euro’s declines.

“Market is really fervent to sell a euro and also fervent to
take some profits,” Bargmann said. “So we are saying seductiveness on
the dips to buy.”

“There’s copiousness of two-way seductiveness in a euro now,” he
added. “There’s a lot of brief positions out there and people
are fervent to book some profit. So it’s not an easy trade.”

The euro rose 0.2 percent to $1.3484, though is still
down roughly 2.4 percent for a week, on lane for a biggest
weekly commission decrease given early September.

Selling vigour opposite a singular banking has intensified
this week as misunderstanding in euro section bond markets widespread to
AAA-rated France.

The euro is approaching to exam a early Oct low of $1.3145
eventually, though a skirmish will substantially be gradual, said
Bargmann.

“I consider we’ll mangle $1.30 though we consider it’s going to be in a
fairly nurse fashion,” he said, adding that there were likely
to be some spikes and bouts of short-covering in between.

Support for a euro lies during around $1.3405, a 76.4
percent retracement of a Oct rally. The bottom of the
weekly Ichimoku cloud also offers support nearby that level,
coming in during $1.3408.

A merchant for a Japanese brokerage in Tokyo pronounced there was
talk that a euro choice position with a strike during $1.35 was set
to end today, and that players holding such a position may
buy a euro on dips and sell into rallies.

“The instruction is substantially toward a downside though looking at
how a marketplace has been relocating and positioning, we have to be
wary of short-covering,” a merchant said.

DOLLAR FUNDINS STRAINS

The deepening of a euro zone’s debt predicament has caused
heightened highlight in dollar appropriation markets this week.

The reward for swapping euros into dollars rose on
Thursday, with a three-month cross-currency basement barter around
6 basement points wider during -136 basement points, a many given the
2008 financial crisis.

“The delayed suit sight pile-up continues, with USD appropriation now
clearly a bigger emanate as contamination spreads some-more deeply into
Spain,” pronounced Sebastien Galy, strategist during Societe Generale.

The Australian dollar, that tends to come underneath vigour in
times of marketplace stress, dipped to as low as $0.9973 earlier,
matching a five-week low overwhelmed on Thursday.

The Aussie after pared some waste to change hands at
$1.0002, down 0.1 percent from late U.S. trade on
Thursday.

“While risks to a downside seem some-more apparent, it’s
worth observant that a banking is now oversold on several
momentum-based indicators,” pronounced David Scutt, a merchant during Arab
Bank Australia in Sydney.

“Keeping this in mind, should any good news surrounding
Europe strike a screens, it’s approaching to see a Aussie spring
higher on a behind of brief covering.”

Against a yen, a dollar dipped 0.1 percent to 76.87 yen
, with investors heedful of serve Japanese movement in the
wake of a large involvement on Oct. 31.


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